2022 FiveThirtyEight Election Forecast

super:Link

https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/

Author

Nate Silver

Media Outlet

FiveThirtyEight / 538

Pages

🇺🇸Elections

Tags

Polling

People

Topics

Organization

Program

Documents

PollsModel Outputs

State

The Deluxe version of our model simulates the election 40,000 times to see which party wins the Senate most often. This sample of 100 outcomes gives you an idea of the range of scenarios the model considers possible.

Republicans are favored to win the House

The Deluxe version of our model simulates the election 40,000 times to see which party wins the House most often. This sample of 100 outcomes gives you an idea of the range of scenarios the model considers possible.

29 in 100

<1 in 100

42 in 100

29 in 100

Forecasting each governorship